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the latest ten-day poll average from "real clear politics" shows president obama with nearly a five-point lead. iowa voters were out in full force starting at 7:00 this morning. one election commissioner said this could be a record-breaking year. >> this was by far the busiest opening day we've had in the ten years i've been in the office. we were thinking 100 people. 100 would have been a good number. that's what it was four years ago. we're well past that. we're not to noon yet. >> look at the early voting numbers from 2008 to see how big a record breaker it could be this year. 2008, 33% of all ballots were cast before election day. early voting favored barack obama over john mccain by 18 points. 58% to 40%. this year, 27 states and washington, d.c., will have early in-person voting prior to election day. the campaigns are estimating an early voting participation at around 40% this year. two out of every five ballots will be filled out before november 6th in this election cycle. today is truly the beginning of the end of the presidential election. but one candidate is in much better pos
the latest ten-day poll average from "real clear politics" shows president obama with nearly a five-point lead. iowa voters were out in full force starting at 7:00 this morning. one election commissioner said this could be a record-breaking year. >> this was by far the busiest opening day we've had in the ten years i've been in the office. we were thinking 100 people. 100 would have been a good number. that's what it was four years ago. we're well past that. we're not to noon...
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. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 ele electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the obvious and said well, of course. you know, mitt romney has to be the big winner on this first debate. >> well, i think he was like look, let me keep my credibility in check because he's been watching what has happened to congressman ryan over the course of this campaign. but i think each man has a different thing they need to accomplish. i think for governor romney he needs to have a strong performan performance. it's not just about one performance for him. his problem is a lack of consistency. he's got to have a good wednesday, thursday, friday, saturday. every day to the election. if you see him give on
. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 ele electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the...
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the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential debates. and there's probably two or three hundred million ads to be dumped on the public. things change in presidential campaigns quite actively in september and early october. it's now that you start looking at serious numbers. the carter/reagan race didn't change until the last few weeks. there's a close parallel between this and carter/reagan. >> let me ask you about new hampshire's poll. i'm sure you didn't miss it. 15-point deficit for mitt romney. i'm guessing you'll argue with some parts. >> i'm not going to argue with it at all. do you really bel
the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential...
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tonight, obama campaign's senior adviser on mitt romney's fuzzy math. >>> devastating new poll numbers show mitt romney's secret video is crushing his campaign. >> i'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility. >> richard wolffe on how aggressive the president needs e to be on the 47% tape. >>> mitt romney's billionaire base is starting to lose their cool. >> we need leadership, not criticism. we need encouragement, not discouragement. >> e.j. deon on why billionaires who do so well under obama can't stand the president. >>> and democrats with a victory for voters in pennsylvania, but republican voter fraud is getting swept under the rug here in colorado. tonight the latest on the rnc's voter fraud scandal. >>> good to have you with us. thanks for watching. we're coming to you tr from denver, colorado. the first presidential debate one day away. this is the romney pre-game show. will mitt romney be held accountable for lies and distortions about president obama's record? we got a sneak preview of what happens when mitt romney is forced to tell the truth. a fox affil
tonight, obama campaign's senior adviser on mitt romney's fuzzy math. >>> devastating new poll numbers show mitt romney's secret video is crushing his campaign. >> i'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility. >> richard wolffe on how aggressive the president needs e to be on the 47% tape. >>> mitt romney's billionaire base is starting to lose their cool. >> we need leadership, not criticism. we need encouragement, not discouragement....
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right. >> romney's pitch comes as polling shows president obama has the advantage in nine battleground states including razor-thin leads in north carolina and nevada and a bigger lead in mitt romney's vacation destination, new hampshire. all of it comes with a new headline from politico. in the end, it's mitt. all of us making a first presidential debate, which is less than one week away now even more critical for the governor. let's bring in "news nation" panel. david godfrin, michael and steve daise, conservative radio talk show host. thanks to you for being with me on this friday. steve, let me start with you. these new poll numbers, the head-to-head showing the president now ahead in all three states, north carolina, nevada and new hampshire. new hampshire, of course, romney's home away from home where he has a vacation spot. governor romney's favorables continue to be underwater in all but north carolina now. combine these numbers with what we've seen all week, how worried are republicans? how worried are they that we're approaching the point where it might be time to focus on the
right. >> romney's pitch comes as polling shows president obama has the advantage in nine battleground states including razor-thin leads in north carolina and nevada and a bigger lead in mitt romney's vacation destination, new hampshire. all of it comes with a new headline from politico. in the end, it's mitt. all of us making a first presidential debate, which is less than one week away now even more critical for the governor. let's bring in "news nation" panel. david godfrin,...
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shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and president obama's chance of winning the election is now at 84.7%. joining me now john hiel man and krystal ball. when i see him out at hoover dam today, i think we are going to hear some sort of rachel like ode to hoover dam in the debate and the power of federal infrastructure spending and what it can do to this country and the economy. >> i think you're absolutely right. that is the core message. it's we're in it together versus you're on your own. and to that point, mitt romney still has never really come up with a coherent explanation, because there isn't one, for his comments about the 47%. so as they're talking about the zingers he's been preparing for this debate and how he's been practicing for months, there's no verbal strik to get you out of that box. and there's also nothing you can do to avoid the fact that your positions have changed so
shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and president obama's chance of winning the election is now at 84.7%. joining me now john hiel man and krystal ball. when i see him out at hoover dam today, i think we are going to hear some sort of rachel like ode to hoover dam in the debate and the power of federal...
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now the latest polls somehow president obama erasing mitt romney's edge on that number one issue and actually leading in some polls who would better handle the economy. president obama is also using a new line. >> during campaign season you always hear a lot about patriotism. well, you know what? it's time for a new economic patriotism. an economic patriotism rooted in the belief that growing our economy begins with a strong and thriving middle class. >> joining any now "newsweek" columnist and cnbc contributor, zachary carabaugh. good friday, sir. economic patriotism is a new part of the lexicon here. >> it is a new part of the lexicon. it can mean just about anything. i don't mean to sound cynical about this. if you're for the president's economic policies, you're an economic patriot, and if you're against it, you're not. it's not a clear policy. it is a very catchy phrase. >> it is a very catchy phrase. in addition to being a centerpiece of a new ad, former ohio governor ted strickland used the phrase to take aim at romney in his democratic convention speech. take a look. >> mitt
now the latest polls somehow president obama erasing mitt romney's edge on that number one issue and actually leading in some polls who would better handle the economy. president obama is also using a new line. >> during campaign season you always hear a lot about patriotism. well, you know what? it's time for a new economic patriotism. an economic patriotism rooted in the belief that growing our economy begins with a strong and thriving middle class. >> joining any now...
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polls show him trailing president obama by as much as 11 points. the latest poll puts the score at 54 to 43. is pennsylvania in play? let's bring in former pennsylvania governor ed rendell who knows pennsylvania like no other. welcome. >> hi, alex. >> we want to talk about the fund-raiser. it's been on the governor's schedule for a while. he's not been in your state campaigning since mid-summer, so why now? >> i don't think they intended to have this rally, but i think the pennsylvania state republican party pressured them into having a rally. they're not playing in pennsylvania right now, and unless the polls improve significantly, i don't think they'll play much at this point. president obama's been very, very popular in the southeast, in the philadelphia suburbs and the city itself. it's a real tough hurdle to overcome. but interestingly, ohio, pennsylvania, florida, none of them according to the time's poll looked promising and no candidate can win without winning at least one of those three states. >> as a political veteran, you know well it's
polls show him trailing president obama by as much as 11 points. the latest poll puts the score at 54 to 43. is pennsylvania in play? let's bring in former pennsylvania governor ed rendell who knows pennsylvania like no other. welcome. >> hi, alex. >> we want to talk about the fund-raiser. it's been on the governor's schedule for a while. he's not been in your state campaigning since mid-summer, so why now? >> i don't think they intended to have this rally, but i think the...
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where would president obama be in the polls today? >> stewart, first of all, i talked not long ago to stewart stephens. where would president obama be in the polls today? >> stewart, first of all, i talked not long ago to stewart stephens. they want to make this an extended conversation. there are four debates. they may be hoping there are undecided voters now. so they care a whole lot about these debates. i think what they have to do is not worry so much about the likability factor. what she means by height and hest i don't know. the trees are the right size. but this is the one time where mitt romney can confront the president. he has to say to the president look, you have failed, you have failed as the economic commander and chief, here is why you have failed and here is why i would be better at the job. that is what the es sen of what he has to do and winning the likability game he will never do. he is going to be the dork from the beginning to end. i'm not that charming perhaps. i don't always say things the right way as i proved
where would president obama be in the polls today? >> stewart, first of all, i talked not long ago to stewart stephens. where would president obama be in the polls today? >> stewart, first of all, i talked not long ago to stewart stephens. they want to make this an extended conversation. there are four debates. they may be hoping there are undecided voters now. so they care a whole lot about these debates. i think what they have to do is not worry so much about the likability...
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rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. curious how you missed that one poll. anyway, guess where the headline originated? "the onion." america's favorite source for fake news. another "onion" today. florida to experiment with 600-lever voting machine. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >>> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that performance is suitably titled obama works -- it. four justices now are in their 70s and the next president of the united states could reshape the balance of the court for decades to come, maybe 40 or 50 years. that's ahead. [ woman ] ring. ring. progresso. your new light creamy potato with bacon & cheese soup says it's 100 calories a serving. that's right. in what world do potatoes, bacon and cheese add up to 100 calories? your world. my world. ♪ [ whispers ] real bacon... creamy cheese... [ whispers ] 100 calories... say it again... [ whispers ] 100 calories... ma'am, hello? ma'am [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. like in a special ops mission? you'd spot movement, gather intellig
rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. curious how you missed that one poll. anyway, guess where the headline originated? "the onion." america's favorite source for fake news. another "onion" today. florida to experiment with 600-lever voting machine. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >>> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that performance is suitably titled obama works -- it. four justices now are in their 70s and the next...
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today, "the new york times" reported from polling places in iowa and found mostly outsken obama supporters. >> do you think that the romney ?rs a outoting e or are they more likely to show up on election day? >> i don't see them. >> does this give you a false sensef security maybe? >> we're not taking anything for granted. i don't see them out here today. >> it's stunning for mitt romney to be so underppared to fight 's hheeblems as . the primary candidate. romney only started making frequent appearances in the state a week before the iowa caucuses. by then, it was too late. and he lost a tight race. romney's campaign should have refocused their efforts, but instead, they find themselveses rsloere cast today.t president obama is moving in for the final knockout punch. the obama campaign unveiled a full two-minute television video ad today with president directly addressing viewers. the ad is airing in four swing states, including iowa. it has the look and feel of a candidate's closing argument. >> it's time for a new economic patriotism. rooted in the belief that growing our economy agains
today, "the new york times" reported from polling places in iowa and found mostly outsken obama supporters. >> do you think that the romney ?rs a outoting e or are they more likely to show up on election day? >> i don't see them. >> does this give you a false sensef security maybe? >> we're not taking anything for granted. i don't see them out here today. >> it's stunning for mitt romney to be so underppared to fight 's hheeblems as . the primary...
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polls for the obama campaign, do they show it like gallup, like cnn or tighter like rassmusen? >> well, we're -- >> come on. >> we're not focused internally or externally on the national polls. we're focused on seven to nine states, as i'm sure the romney team is as well. some, we're close, some we have more of a lead on. but it doesn't matter because we have 38 days to go and we need our supporters to turn out. it doesn't matter unless they cast their vote. so that's what our focus is is now. turning people out. it's already game day. already voting is happening and we need to keep our focus on november 6th. >> so, matt, what is it really about? i keep hearing, people are talking about getting the base out and that it comes down to the base. we had on one of the preachers saying it's all about the base. mitt romney needs to get the base out, but you said no, it's about those independents. those people who aren't on either side. am i saying too much to say you're saying it's not about the base? >> no, i just think people sometimes get confused with elections. they try to act li
polls for the obama campaign, do they show it like gallup, like cnn or tighter like rassmusen? >> well, we're -- >> come on. >> we're not focused internally or externally on the national polls. we're focused on seven to nine states, as i'm sure the romney team is as well. some, we're close, some we have more of a lead on. but it doesn't matter because we have 38 days to go and we need our supporters to turn out. it doesn't matter unless they cast their vote. so that's what our...
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the polls he showed president obama up eight pst state. now suffolk university poll shows the president at 6%. the presidt remind wwa said. >> i have always said that change takes more than one term or more than one president. it takes more than one party. i can't happen if you write out half the nation before you take office. t el otgor me.how many of y but, i'll be fightin for you no matter what. i'm not fighting to create democratic jobs or republican jobs,'m fighting t create american jobs. >> today the omae-ti ai released it's third add hitting mitt romney for insulting and lying about 47% of americans. >> 47% of people will vote for the president who are -- belve that they are vicmsel that government has the responsibility to care for them and believe that they are entitled to health care and housing and you name it. my job is not toorry about those people. >> rush limbaugh is still struggling to find an honest way to defend mit romney's comments on the 47%. >> obama is saying tt 47% pereot victims. he is putting words in romney's mo
the polls he showed president obama up eight pst state. now suffolk university poll shows the president at 6%. the presidt remind wwa said. >> i have always said that change takes more than one term or more than one president. it takes more than one party. i can't happen if you write out half the nation before you take office. t el otgor me.how many of y but, i'll be fightin for you no matter what. i'm not fighting to create democratic jobs or republican jobs,'m fighting t create american...
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the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right now the obama campaign is solidly and consistently ahead. tactically what that means is the obama campaign has to convert being ahead in people's preferences to actual votes. since they are clearly ahead, a good time to get those votes cast is right now. because thanks to early voting, people are casting ballots right now. so this lead that they have now in the polls can be banked. it can be turned into actual votes while they're still ahead, even if they don't end up being this far ahead by election day. iowa became the first swing state in the nation where voters are actua
the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right now...
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gallup poll, rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. anyway, guess where the headline original yated, the onion, america's favorite source for fake news. another onion news item today, florida to experiment with new 600 lever voting machine. >>> finally, the latest music and dance tribute to president obama. this is all over the place literally. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ >> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that's suited obama works it. >>> up next, what's the biggest thing at stake in this election? it might be the supreme court when you think about it. four justices now are in their 70s, and the next president of the united states could reshape the balance of the court for decades to come. maybe 40 or 50 years, and that's ahead. you're watching "hardball," the place for politics. >>> i'm sue herera with you be your cnbc market wrap. the month and quarter ends with gains but for the day the dow is off 49 points, the s&p fell about 6, and the nasdaq lower by 20 points. >>> facebook bucked the losing trend
gallup poll, rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. anyway, guess where the headline original yated, the onion, america's favorite source for fake news. another onion news item today, florida to experiment with new 600 lever voting machine. >>> finally, the latest music and dance tribute to president obama. this is all over the place literally. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ >> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that's suited obama works it....
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well, we just had the fox poll that says obama is ahead by five. this is "hardball," the place for politics. ♪ you do ♪ something to me ♪ that nobody else could do stop! stop! stop! come back here! humans -- we are beautifully imperfect creatures living in an imperfect world. that's why liberty mutual insurance has your back with great ideas like our optional better car replacement. if your car is totaled, we give you the money to buy one a model year newer. call... and ask one of our insurance experts about it today. hello?! we believe our customers do their best out there in the world, and we do everything we can to be there for them when they need us. [car alarm blaring] call now and also ask about our 24/7 support and service. call... and lock in your rate for 12 months today. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? i was talking to my best friend. i told her i wasn't feeling like myself... i had pain in my pelvic area... and bleeding that wasn't normal for me. she said i had to go to the doctor. turned out i had ute
well, we just had the fox poll that says obama is ahead by five. this is "hardball," the place for politics. ♪ you do ♪ something to me ♪ that nobody else could do stop! stop! stop! come back here! humans -- we are beautifully imperfect creatures living in an imperfect world. that's why liberty mutual insurance has your back with great ideas like our optional better car replacement. if your car is totaled, we give you the money to buy one a model year newer. call... and ask one...
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new suffolk university poll showing president obama in virginia up by two points. al brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on tee othesw stas sng idobin na up by two. showing president obama in new hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of sng states, and in a majority of states, period, it'sot just a getxcited ce elon i upon us. really,serious seriously. get excited. it's upon us. it's already started. you can tell it's already started is in part because we're in the triage perd ofhel . tif elonr en people who are spending money in hopes of effecting the election's outcome start cutting their losses, ledgi hedging the and use their money instead in places they think it will make a difference. "the hill" newspaper reporting this week the republican party's house cpa cttee hadot tesd aeor a handful of incumbent republican congressmen. a sign that, quote, congressmen in question -- canceledwo weeks of its schuledd fo n cin democratic incumbent seen as vul
new suffolk university poll showing president obama in virginia up by two points. al brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on tee othesw stas sng idobin na up by two. showing president obama in new hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of sng states, and in a majority of states, period, it'sot just a getxcited ce elon i upon us. really,serious seriously. get excited. it's...
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barack obama's ahead in nearly every national poll and battle ground state poll. but what do we really make of the crunchers who say mitt romney has just a 1-5 chance to win this election? hi, i'm chris mathews. welcome to the show. with us today, new york magazine's john, trish and kelly and the huffington post's d howard. with just over a month to go for mitt romney, given the polls, the debates may be it. it could change the narrative that has dogged him or cemented. romney has the same urgent must-do list that he at the republican convention. only now could be his last chance. today we're going to look at romney's career, back at his career, at some missteps in past debates and also at some gems from barack obama. first up, first on romney's must-do list, get likable. and avoid this kind of reaction when governor rick perry charged that romney had hired illegal lawn workers. >> i'm speaking. i'm speaking. i'm speaking. i'm speaking. you get 30 seconds. this is the way the rules work here. is that i get 60 seconds. and you get -- >> but the american people want
barack obama's ahead in nearly every national poll and battle ground state poll. but what do we really make of the crunchers who say mitt romney has just a 1-5 chance to win this election? hi, i'm chris mathews. welcome to the show. with us today, new york magazine's john, trish and kelly and the huffington post's d howard. with just over a month to go for mitt romney, given the polls, the debates may be it. it could change the narrative that has dogged him or cemented. romney has the same...
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. >> i want to ask you about the poll that has obama up by seven points. could the bogus ads be hurting him there because people know exactly what the president did on tires and tires being manufactured in ohio. >> i think so. the facts are difficult to deal with. romney will find once again his talk is not supported by facts and once again people are going to go this guy is just not straight. he is just note honest and those ads are incorrect and going to be proven and romney will be hurt by that more time on a long list of being incorrect and also flip flopping on issues. >> you are causing issues with the republicans and the super pac launched about a half million dollar ad by against you. how are you going to fight it? >> with the truth. we are going fight it with the facts that for many, many years i have fought the big boys. i took on the insurance industry and the insurance commissioner and we won. we protected people in california from the insurance industry. now they want medicare. they want to control the medicare dollars. no way, no how. >> john
. >> i want to ask you about the poll that has obama up by seven points. could the bogus ads be hurting him there because people know exactly what the president did on tires and tires being manufactured in ohio. >> i think so. the facts are difficult to deal with. romney will find once again his talk is not supported by facts and once again people are going to go this guy is just not straight. he is just note honest and those ads are incorrect and going to be proven and romney will...
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the other thing that i noticed is that sometimes barack obama polls wlnugy thk he might be a muslim. but i really have to insist, i don't think it will work in the d ldeatlookg candidates. >> these pictures that you've shown is something like out of mad magazine. that's exactly what -- you know, i used to read mad magazine when i'm a teenager. grow u and i wish the grownups would me back to e rlica party, honestly. >> joe, ana marie, thanks for your time tonight. >>> still ahead, paul ryan has some advice for women on lfar you' wan s thi but, first, it's not just mitt romney that voters are rejecting right now. the tea party's in a downward spiral. stay wh us. when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...wita deeper kwledge of their sjects. as a resul their students achieve at a hher vel. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >>> up next, remember the tea party wave that was going to wa
the other thing that i noticed is that sometimes barack obama polls wlnugy thk he might be a muslim. but i really have to insist, i don't think it will work in the d ldeatlookg candidates. >> these pictures that you've shown is something like out of mad magazine. that's exactly what -- you know, i used to read mad magazine when i'm a teenager. grow u and i wish the grownups would me back to e rlica party, honestly. >> joe, ana marie, thanks for your time tonight. >>> still...
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and according to a new bloomberg poll, president obama leads by 6 points. tonight nate silver fraufts that on november 6, president obama will opinion 316 votes anditt roey will within 222. and president obama's chance of winning the election is at 81.9%. the highest of this campaign cle. joy reid, i will bet you10 the goto ace of that secret tape, about the 47% in most of the obama and team obama campaign ads for the rest of the way. >> it is going to be on an endless loop from now until election day. that is for sure because it's so effective. in a way democrats should thank him. he ripped the veil off something like 30 years republican fooling working cls people into thinking you kw what ge aheocts are the party of labor but we really get you. he's showing they don't not only get working class people they don't seem to like them very much. i think mitt romney is like the guy who has to show up at a nnerartyfterei erheard insulting half the guests. a lot of people in the crowd are 47ers, he looks awkward and out of place. >> joy speaks for me. >> the grea
and according to a new bloomberg poll, president obama leads by 6 points. tonight nate silver fraufts that on november 6, president obama will opinion 316 votes anditt roey will within 222. and president obama's chance of winning the election is at 81.9%. the highest of this campaign cle. joy reid, i will bet you10 the goto ace of that secret tape, about the 47% in most of the obama and team obama campaign ads for the rest of the way. >> it is going to be on an endless loop from now until...
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they say the poll show obama leading by more than think he is. it's not they're saying the polls are wrong. when every national poll -- i don't think we can say -- when fox news' poll shows obama ahead in a bunch of swing states recently, i don't think we can say the polls are wrong and biased because fox news conservative leading. they show what the polls are showing as well. the president has a strong lead. pollsters have a strong incentive to have their polls be accurate, because that's what their profession is. i'm skeptical they're tries to missample people. the finding more democrats are anyway poll, when a democratic candidate is popular, more people call themselves democrats. that doesn't mean the poll is wrong. more people call themselves democrats than they might have been four or five weeks ago. >> let me bring in mark mckinnon. we'll bring you into this conversation. i want to start with something that newt gingrich said this morning on "morning joe." mark, let me play that. >> everybody i talk to agrees he's had two and a half very t
they say the poll show obama leading by more than think he is. it's not they're saying the polls are wrong. when every national poll -- i don't think we can say -- when fox news' poll shows obama ahead in a bunch of swing states recently, i don't think we can say the polls are wrong and biased because fox news conservative leading. they show what the polls are showing as well. the president has a strong lead. pollsters have a strong incentive to have their polls be accurate, because that's what...
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pay no attention to wh you're seeing or what you're hearing, that obama is up. according to some on fox a elsewhere, the pollstersre a in trentacck aney'ttrd, including fox's polls apparently. here is dick morris staggering even sean hannity on fox news this week. >> as he's at the moment in a very strong position. i believe if the election were held today, romney would winy four or five points. i believe he would carry fla,o,gi i ev w c na. i believe he would carry pennsylvania. >> oh, come on. >> pennsylvania, and i believe he would be competitive in michigan. people need to understand that the polling this year is the worst it's evebeen because is ie t tihe if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they're going to vote. the models these folks are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of six or seven points. >>e're a wro in is business, we make mistakes. he's the only guy i know who knows he's wrong when he says this stuff, dick morris. in theyes of republicans, it's that the polls are conspiring to bring him down. michael tomay, special
pay no attention to wh you're seeing or what you're hearing, that obama is up. according to some on fox a elsewhere, the pollstersre a in trentacck aney'ttrd, including fox's polls apparently. here is dick morris staggering even sean hannity on fox news this week. >> as he's at the moment in a very strong position. i believe if the election were held today, romney would winy four or five points. i believe he would carry fla,o,gi i ev w c na. i believe he would carry pennsylvania. >>...
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. >> i am polling people but do you vote for romney or obama? >> i thought you were registering voters a minute ago. >> i am, i am. >> and who are you registering? all voters? >> i'm actually trying to register people for a particular party because we're out here in support of romney actually. i am. >> and who is paying you for this? >> oh, the -- let me see, we're working for the county clerk's office. >> okay. you cannot come out here -- >> working for the county clerk's office. that means taxpayer dollars goes to that teen-age person to go out and register people who are going to vote for mitt romney. the fox affiliate confirmed the woman worked for the republican firm. this is what happens when republicans get their backs against the wall. they cheat. but i don't think they're going to get away with it. democrats and progressives are schooled up on the latest dirty tricks. eight years ago the republican voter fraud in florida may have gone unnoticed. today we know better. republicans can use lies and intimidation to try to win but no one is
. >> i am polling people but do you vote for romney or obama? >> i thought you were registering voters a minute ago. >> i am, i am. >> and who are you registering? all voters? >> i'm actually trying to register people for a particular party because we're out here in support of romney actually. i am. >> and who is paying you for this? >> oh, the -- let me see, we're working for the county clerk's office. >> okay. you cannot come out here --...
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a new washington post poll has president obama out front in ohio and florida. inside the numbers we see how the president has hitome with ohio voters on understanding economic problems people are amatom 31 on w. connecting on their problems. 51 points in florida -- actually, 15. on handling taxes, president obama beats romney by a wide margin, 17 points in ohio. in florida it's closer, leads by one. atne by 1 in ohio, 15 in florida. what i understand, looking at the differential, florida has a lot of retired people, obviously. very sensitive. in a sense, ohio has people who can't afford to get down to florida in the wintertime. their social security, medire, and maybe if the lucky, some pension d savings. >>ou know, we've talked about this for months now. after the 2010 electi, obama sat down and thought about what his message is, his vision is, his strategy going into 20 1237 th whairo a in "showdown" and he's stuck to this with such devotion and passion, because he believes in it. there's a real distinction between him and republicans when it comes to all tho
a new washington post poll has president obama out front in ohio and florida. inside the numbers we see how the president has hitome with ohio voters on understanding economic problems people are amatom 31 on w. connecting on their problems. 51 points in florida -- actually, 15. on handling taxes, president obama beats romney by a wide margin, 17 points in ohio. in florida it's closer, leads by one. atne by 1 in ohio, 15 in florida. what i understand, looking at the differential, florida has a...
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president obama is up pretty substantially in a number of polls. women voters critically important. i think it puts the gop in a tough spot because here you have a guy who's defending the concept of legitimate rain or forceable rape as part of the that puts the party on defense when it comes to women voter vo. >> karen, think back. when you saw the latest poll up by ten points, are you smiling from ear to ear or what? >> you know what? i'm going tell you something. when i was at the dnc then and now i would be very concerned simile because you can't take anything for granted. i'm concern thad the president be outside of the margin of error in terms of his lead because i don't underestimate karl rove to steal the election. the tay party vote challenging students in ohio simile because they didn't put their dorm room number on their registrations. those kids are being subpoenaed to go to court. those are the kind of tactics we're starting to see. >> both sides, both candidates will be speaking in ohio later today in our 1:00 hour here on msnbc. and president obama is doing poorly with
president obama is up pretty substantially in a number of polls. women voters critically important. i think it puts the gop in a tough spot because here you have a guy who's defending the concept of legitimate rain or forceable rape as part of the that puts the party on defense when it comes to women voter vo. >> karen, think back. when you saw the latest poll up by ten points, are you smiling from ear to ear or what? >> you know what? i'm going tell you something. when i was at the...
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new suffolk university poll showing president obama in rginia up by two points. also brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on three other swing states showing president obama in nevada up by owprenam n hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majity of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say election day is upon us. really, seously. geci it's upon us. it's already started. you can tell it's already started is in part because we're in the triage period of the call pain. the time of the election year when people who are spending nein hopes of effecting the eltion outme srt cng r esgi their bets and use their money instead in places they think it will make a difference. "the hill" newspaper reporting this week the republican party's house campaign committee had not yet served any ad time for a hal ncntubn congressmen. a sign that, quote, congressmen in question -- canceled two weeks of its scheduled ad buy fo
new suffolk university poll showing president obama in rginia up by two points. also brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on three other swing states showing president obama in nevada up by owprenam n hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majity of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say election day is upon us. really,...